Chapter Two
This chapter in The FairTax Fantasy largely describes why the authors believe it's more honest to call the FairTax a 30% sales tax rather than a 23% inclusive tax. According to the authors, it's that sales taxes are ALWAYS considered an "exclusive" tax; that is, "added on after the price".
They do acknowledge that a 23% inclusive tax and a 30% exclusive tax is the same; they do not acknowledge that there will be any price change when the 20-25% federal taxes already included in the price of all goods is removed.
In other words, Hewitt and Adler give an example of a $1.00 item increasing in price after the FairTax to $1.30; Boortz and Linder would say that after the federal taxes are removed from the $1.00 item, the actual cost will be about $.77. Include the 23% FairTax, and the price at the register will be... $1.00.
Hewitt and Adler also claim that some economists believe that the 30% number is far too low, and that the actual FairTax rate will need to be about 50%.
They go on to mention the "prebate", how it's only available to legal citizens, and about how devastating it will be for the 12 to 15 million illegal aliens in the country, for them to wake up one morning and find the prices of everything they're already struggling to buy 30% more expensive.
They also briefly mention projected problems they see in an inevitable international trade war, since American goods would be so much less expensive overseas; how investment property would be far cheaper than a home you would buy to live in; and what chaos it would throw the states into, since they depend on the current income tax system to raise their own revenues.
My reaction: Again, Hewitt and Adler insist on referring to the higher 30% figure than the 23% figure. Proponents of both have their agendas: If you're for the FairTax, the 23% figure is more palatable. If you're against the FairTax, the 30% figure looks more scary.
I think Boortz and Linder have the better argument for the following reasons: 1) the embedded federal taxes the FairTax replaces are already factored into the price.
Here's an example, And for purposes of explanation that will become clear I'll change the numbers slightly from 23% and 30%, to 25% and 33% (identical inclusive and exclusive rates):
You go the register to buy a widget--assume we're in a state with no additional sales taxes--and the clerk rings up one dollar. You put four quarters on the counter. The clerk says, "y'know, one of those quarters goes to pay embedded federal taxes."
"No kidding?", you answer, "That's 25% of the price! Well, the FairTax gets rid of those taxes, so let's slide that quarter over here for a sec. These three quarters now represent the widget's actual cost."
"Right," says the clerk, "but now you have to pay the FairTax, so let's slide it back over to cover it."
Boortz and Linder would argue that the FairTax is 25% of the purchase price--after all, it's a quarter!. Hewitt and Adler would claim that the quarter of tax represents a 33% increase over the three coins that the widget "costs".
You and I? We don't give a rat's patootie. We pay the buck and leave with our widget.
The second reason I think the FairTax proponents have the better argument is that the income tax that the FairTax is designed to replace is figured on an "inclusive" basis. Are you in the 15% tax bracket? You're actually paying 17.6% under the Hewitt/Adler description. 28% bracket? Actually, "exclusively" it's nearly 40%! How about President Obama's proposed 39.6% tier. On an "exclusive" basis, you're paying over 65.5% tax. Swell.
Yes, the FairTax is technically a "sales tax", which is traditionally referred to on an "exclusive" basis; but I believe it makes more sense to compare apples to apples.
In their other examples, I don't believe illegal aliens would be any worse off than they are now. Prices under the FairTax should remain about the same. Things WILL be better for legal residents, since they'll receive their "prebate" every month to cover the tax on items up to the poverty level.
International trade may be a factor, but that's well above my pay grade. And Boortz and Linder, and Hewitt and Adler are all making projections, after all; but the marketplace works best when finding it's own level.
The one example they give that I do see as problematic is that new homes bought for investment purposes will be far less expensive than those bought to live in. I would expect to see "partnerships" develop wherein two people buy property for investment, and rent to each other.
This could be a real issue, but is probably way too complex to pull off on a consistent basis. For their own personal protection, there would need to be very thorough contracts put in place to cover such a partnership so that each party feels secure in the ownership of "his" house. And what happens when one of them wants to move? All of this would raise red flags among the attorneys who'd have to draw up said contracts. How would they feel about being part of an illegal tax conspiracy?
There would probably have to be laws put in place to prevent an investor from selling that property for a substantial period. Say three to five years. Something to address though.
The summary continues when I can.